The worst-case scenario of the coronavirus epidemic revealed
The COVID-19 pandemic could have killed 40 million deaths by the end of 2020 in the absence of any preventative measures, according to Imperial College London (UK).
Researchers included a number of scenarios, such as
- What would have happened if the world had not reacted to COVID-19,
- Two scenarios incorporating social distancing, which result in a single-peaked epidemic
- And several scenarios for suppressing the spread of the disease that can have the largest overall impact in terms of reducing disease and deaths.
It is noted that ignoring all security measures would lead to a worse development of the coronavirus epidemic and infection of seven billion people. This number would be halved if the number of contacts had been reduced by 40 percent for children, young people and adults, and 60 percent for older people.
Dr Patrick Walker, an author of the report from Imperial, said: "We estimate that the world faces an unprecedented acute public health emergency in the coming weeks and months. Our findings suggest that all countries face a choice between intensive and costly measures to suppress transmission or risk health systems becoming rapidly overwhelmed. However, our results highlight that rapid, decisive and collective action now will save millions of lives in the next year"
The study shows that poor countries will lose far more people than developed ones. A press release from the British university emphasizes that the problem of COVID-19 is common to all countries on Earth.
The modelling showed that implementing measures early on can have a dramatic impact.
If all countries were to adopt this strategy at 0.2 deaths per 100,000 population per week, 95 per cent of the deaths could be averted, saving 38.7 million lives.
However, if this strategy is adopted later (1.6 deaths per 100,000 population per week), then this figure drops to 30.7 million.
In March, Chinese experts published a study in JAMA Cardiology, which claimed that diseases of the cardiovascular system increases mortality by almost 4.5 times from coronavirus.
Global Coronavirus deaths reaches a new record of 20,000
As of today, the 25th of March the coronavirus has killed more than 20,912 people worldwide and the majority of them are from Europe, reaching a number of 13,582 people, according to AFP.
The number of cases infected with coronavirus passed 463,408, while 113,802 have recovered. More than 328,704 patients are in mild conditions and 14,379 are in either serious or critical condition.
Italy is the most affected country with over 7,503 death followed by Spain with 3,434 deaths and China, with 3,281.
As more countries are faced with complete lockdown, US Senate leader have agreed a $2 trillion stimulus package with the White House.
India is now on a lockdown for 21 days, with more than 1.3 million people on quarantine. Narendra Modi, the prime minister, told Indians that he was banning people from leaving their homes in order to save the country, all the citizens and their family. He also stressed that if after 21 days the situation will not stop or improve then the country’s development risked being set back 21 years.
New Zealand has declared State of National Emergency after reporting more than 200 cases of coronavirus. Jacinda Ardern, the prime minister, called on every citizen to ‘act like you have Covid-19’ and warned that those violating compulsory stay-at-home rules would face “no tolerance”.
As of today, there are more than three billion people living under lockdown measures in order to stop spreading the coronavirus, which the United Nations warned that is threatening all of humanity.
“Covid-19 is threatening the whole of humanity – and the whole of humanity must fight back,” UN Secretary General Antonio Guterres said, launching an appeal for $2 billion to help the world’s poor.
“Global action and solidarity are crucial. Individual country responses are not going to be enough.”
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Spain extends quarantine. Authorities went on alert after the number of cases increased
The Spaniards were frightened and returned to harsh measures. Spain decided on Wednesday (May 6th) to extend the state of emergency for another two weeks. That was after it was given free to walks and physical activities.
Prime Minister Pedro Sanchez called on the parliament, which approved the measure, after easing the restrictions, bringing the number of cases of illness to 3,121 on May 6. This is after, after the end of April and the beginning of May, they had stabilized at 850 -1,200 new cases per day.
Spain has registered 256,855 cases of COVID-19 disease and over 26,000 deaths. The Sanchez government wants to gradually lift the measures of isolation at home and at the same time control the implementation of measures of social distancing and hygiene among the population.
Home isolation was imposed on March 14 and the state of emergency was due to end on Saturday, May 9, but will be extended until May 24. Although the opposition claimed that 60 days of state of emergency were illegal, it had to vote on the law for national security.
Compilation of top exercises at home during coronavirus lockdown.
One of the main measures to stop the spreading of coronavirus is social distancing, which means that gyms are closed. Even if there are such circumstances, we need to stay fit and healthy.
Simple and regular exercise are essential for supporting healthy immune function; preventing weight gain; boosting your mood for the whole day; and keeping you healthy during this difficult times.
It is important to limit the prolonged sedentary behavior, especially during quarantine, that’s why we should make up a schedule which include some simple but efficient indoor exercise.
Cardio workouts are important during this sedentary routine days. It boosts your health and mood for the whole day, and you do not have to spend much time for this exercises. You can have an effective cardio workout at home during quarantine, even if you don’t have much space or special equipment.
You still have some equipment at home, for example a chair which you can use. Our fantasy is great, so we can invent our equipment, like some bottles of water, maybe some weight stuff from home and other. Here are some exercises you can do with home inventory.
You can also challenge yourself for a week to make some moves, a calendar titled “Weight loss challenge” can motivate you to start losing weight and spend your time correctly during quarantine and not only. Maybe you would like workout so much, that you will continue this routine after quarantine.
It is also important during quarantine to involve the whole family for some physical efforts, especially when your kids are at home. Here are some exercises you can do with your children, motivating them to be healthy, but also have an healthy occupation during quarantine. Cycling is the choice of those who have a private house on the ground, and respectively space around the house, where children can cycle without coming in contact with other people.
You may be also motivated by another type of exercises, called Name Fitness. We, Bemorepanda challenge you to spell your name and do the workout everyday. Here are some exercises for each letter from your name, let’s take a look:
Dear friends, stay healthy and try to make a minimum physical effort daily, we concern about your well being
and good mood. Have a productive quarantine near us!